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Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term tr

时间:2018-12-15 19:53来源:未知 作者:admin
  

During the Asian session on Thursday (November 26), the US dollar index oscillated slightly, basically holding most of last week's gains. The market's concerns about the international trade situation are expected to help the exchange rate fluctuate upwards; spot gold temporarily hovered at $1,223 per ounce. In the previous trading day, the general weakening of commodities caused the price of gold to be dragged down. The technical short-term bearish signal increased. In the crude oil market, the market’s concern about oversupply caused oil prices to continue to fall for seven consecutive weeks. Currently, it is supporting the 50-integer mark. The short-term is expected to stabilize and rebound.

Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term trading strategy on November 26

★ This week's financial market hotspots:

1. The EU summit affected the fermentation on November 25;

2. European Central Bank President Draghi speaks;

3. Fed Chairman Powell and other officials spoke;

4. US third quarter GDP revision;

5. The annual rate of the core PCE price index in the United States in October;

6. Minutes of the Fed meeting;

7. CPI data for the Eurozone in November;

8. G20 Leaders Summit.

Note 1: For more details on market hotspots, please see the article Interpretation of Huitong News and the real-time coverage of Huitong News.

Note 2: This strategy is biased towards technical analysis. In terms of fundamentals, readers should also pay attention to the analysis articles of Huitong.com on market hotspots. At any time, there will be many variables in the market. This strategy is mainly to describe the situation with relatively high probability.

★ Analysis of spot gold, silver, crude oil and foreign exchange short-term trend on November 26

1. US dollar index:

Analysis : Although last week's US Fed officials' speech was not as good as the market's expected hawks, the US durable goods order data showed the worst performance in 15 months, but the market's worries about the international trade situation have warmed up, attracting safe-haven funds. Into the US dollar, to provide support for the US dollar, the market is still widely expected the Fed will raise interest rates in December, investors need to pay attention to this week's Fed Chairman Powell and other votes, including the performance of core PCE data, which will raise interest rates in December The hawkish attitude provides some references. The technical short-term slightly biased to see more market outlook, this week focused on resistance near 97.87.

Weekly level : volatility up; average line is biased towards long positions, Bollinger line opening, KDJ gold fork, the exchange rate is expected to run on the inner track of Yanbulin, initial resistance Bollinger line near 97.28, then resistance near 97.87, 103.82- The 61.8% retracement of the 88.24 decline and the high resistance of the week of June 23, 2017 are all near the position. If the resistance is broken, it is expected to open the medium-to-long-term uptrend channel; the week of May 5, 2017 The low resistance is around 98.54.

Continue to pay attention to the support near the 96 integer mark, and then the middle line support of the Bollinger Band is near 95.36. If the position is accidentally lost, increase the bearish signal.

Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term trading strategy on November 26

(US dollar index weekly chart)

Daily line level : shock; the exchange rate fluctuated after gaining support near the rising trend line. After the exchange rate triangle shocked, the KDJ initially formed a golden fork operation, suggesting that the 97.69-96.02 callback trend has ended and the exchange rate is expected to re-test the resistance around 97.69. In addition, there is some resistance near the Bollinger line 97.42. If the position is broken, the bullish signal is added.

The middle rail support of the lower Bollinger Band is around 96.63, and the uptrend line is supported near 96.38. If the accident falls back below this position, the downside risk is increased.

Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term trading strategy on November 26

(Dollar Chart Daily Chart)

4 hours level : shocks rise; MACD and KDJ gold forks run, Bollinger line opening, the exchange rate is biased towards the Yanbulin online track upwards, the initial resistance is around 97.41, then the previous high point around 97.69.

The initial support below is near 96.76, then the vicinity of 96.63 in the middle of the Bollinger Band. If the accident falls below this position, the short-term bullish signal is weakened.

Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term trading strategy on November 26

(US dollar index 4 hours chart)

Resistance : 97.12; 97.42; 97.59; 97.87; 98.00; 98.54;

Support : 96.76; 96.63; 96.38; 96.20; 96.00; 95.67.

Conclusion: Before the loss of 96.63, the market outlook fluctuated.

2, spot gold:

Analysis : The market's worries about the international trade situation have warmed up, which has provided better support for the US dollar. Commodities have generally weakened, and gold prices have also been dragged down. The technical short-term bearish signal has also increased; however, this There are also minutes of the US PCE and Fed meeting, and there are some wait-and-see attitudes in the short-term market.

Weekly level: shock; gold price is still suppressed by the middle line of the Bollinger line. At present, there is a certain support near the 1224.47, and there is a certain support at the 1200 integer mark. The market is more variable. If it falls below the support of the 1200 integer mark, it will increase. Empty signal, the market outlook is expected to further test the support near 1180.

If the resistance near the 1238.52 is broken, the bullish signal will be increased, and the market may further explore the resistance around 1262.75.

As the rise recorded a cross star, the possibility of a downturn in the market is slightly higher.

Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term trading strategy on November 26

(Spot gold weekly chart)

The daily level: shock; the price of gold failed to break through the resistance of the integer mark of $1230. The relatively high position appeared similar to the "Twilight Star" and the engulfing of the bearishness. KDJ also initially issued an overbought signal, and the market faced the risk of returning to the downtrend. Supported near the low point of 1217.79 on the 19th, if the position is lost, the price of gold may fall further to the lower section of the Bollinger Band 1204.27; in addition, there is some support near the 100-day moving average of 1211.90.

Above, we will continue to pay attention to the resistance around 1230.20. If the position is broken, it is expected to further explore the resistance near the Bollinger track 1241.48. In addition, there are some resistances around the November high of 1237.40.

Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term trading strategy on November 26

(Spot gold daily chart)

4 hours level : shock; pay attention to the breakthrough situation of the Bollinger track 1219.78-1229.36; MACD and KDJ dead fork operation, the gold price is currently suppressed by the Bollinger Middle Track, the short-term bias is broken; then 1216.51 and 1211.20 are also respectively There is some support.

The initial resistance above is around 1226.40. If it rises unexpectedly above the position, it will weaken the short-term bearish signal; if the accident further breaks the Bollinger's online track 1229.36 resistance, it will increase the short-term bullish signal; further resistance is still around 1236.27.

Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term trading strategy on November 26

(Spot gold 4 hours chart)

Resistance : 1226.40; 1230.20; 1237.40; 1241.48; 1245.60;

Support : 1219.78; 1216.51; 1211.20; 1207.95; 1204.20.

Huitong network short-term operation suggestion : conservatives wait and see; radicals treacherously cautious short.

3. Spot silver:

Weekly level : low level shock; MACD barely gold fork, KDJ barely dead fork, the market trend is large, it is recommended to pay attention to the 13.87-15.00 regional breakthrough.

If it can break the 15.00 integer mark resistance, it will increase the bullish signal; if it falls below the support of 13.87, the silver price will continue to test the support near the multi-year low of 13.64 touched in 2015.

Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term trading strategy on November 26

(Spot silver weekly chart)

Daily line level : shock; local "Twilight Star", before the recovery of the Bollinger Band 14.43, the short line is biased downward, the initial support below 14.22, if it falls below the position, it will continue to explore the lower line of Bollinger Support near 13.99.

As the KDJ gold cross signal is still present, if the resistance near the middle of the Bollinger Band 14.43 is unexpectedly recovered, the short-line bearish signal is weakened.

Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term trading strategy on November 26

(Spot silver daily chart)

Resistance : 14.43; 14.59; 14.72; 14.91; 15.00;

Support : 14.22; 14.08; 14.00; 13.87; 13.64.

Conclusion: Pay attention to the regional breakthrough situation of 14.22-14.59, before the break of 14.43, the short-term short-term market outlook.

4. US crude oil:

Analysis : There is a certain psychological support for the 50 integer mark. After the continuous decline, there is a huge adjustment demand for oil prices. Before the 50-integer mark is lost, the oil price in the day is expected to fluctuate and rebound.

Weekly level : unilateral decline; MACD and KDJ dead fork operation, K line seven consecutive yin, oil price action can still exist, mid-line oil prices still have further risk, preliminary support near the 50 integer mark, further strong support Near 45.47, the position is the 61.8% retracement of the 26.05-76.90 rally; in addition, there is some support near the weekly low of 49.10 on October 6, 2017; the low point support of the week of September 15, 2017 47.00 near the integer mark.

As KDJ has already run to the oversold area, the recent oil price has fallen sharply, the oil price has deviated too far from the moving average, and there is also a strong rebound demand in the short-term. The 200-week moving average resistance is around 52.23; the low resistance in the week of November 16 is around 54.75. The 5-week moving average resistance is around 56.26.

Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term trading strategy on November 26

(US crude oil main contract weekly chart)

Daily line level : unilateral decline; technical indicators are still obviously bearish, but the MACD bottom deviation signal continues, KDJ low passivation, short-term adjustment demand; initial resistance around the November 20 low 52.77, then the 5-day moving average The resistance near 53.39, if it can recover the position, implies that the recent decline may come to an end; the oil price midline still has the possibility of rebounding around the 60 integer mark, and 60.33 is the 38.2% retracement of the 76.90-50.10 downtrend.

However, the possibility that oil prices will effectively rise above 60.33 before the OPEC meeting is relatively low.

Below focus on the support near the 50 integer mark, if the oil price accidentally breaks the position, you need to continue to wait for the bottom signal; below the reference support weekly analysis.

Spot gold, silver, crude oil, foreign exchange short-term trading strategy on November 26

(US crude oil main contract daily chart)

Resistance : 52.23; 52.77; 53.37; 54.75; 55.06; 55.86;

Support : 50.00; 49.10; 48.12; 47.00; 45.47; 42.05;

Conclusion: Before the 50-integer mark is lost, the rebound can be expected; but the possibility of low-level shock cannot be ruled out.

Special reminder 1: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time should be based on wait and see, patiently waiting for the best opportunity to shoot, avoid frequent trading is recognized as one of the winning magic. Don't try to catch all the volatility, and don't expect to judge every market correctly.

Special reminder 2: This strategy is biased towards short-term and intraday trading. For those who have not touched the profit target overnight, investors will continue to hold the profit if they are sure, and the profit or loss will be fine-tuned or unchanged. If they are not sure, they will directly close their positions. . Readers who like the monk strategy can like it in the comment area, and can also make some suggestions. The small series will refer to the comprehensive reference. Because the strategy contains too many price points, please also bear with me with some editorial errors and deficiencies.

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